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Prediction markets for New York Magazine
Prediction markets for New York Magazine
Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?
Feb 22, 4:47 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
30.45%
chance
129
189769
Option
Votes
YES
NO
143881
71959
Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]
Aug 8, 8:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.65%
chance
23
985
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1595
1306
Will manifold markets still have >2000 daily active users in 2025?
Oct 23, 5:41 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
72%
chance
183
30996
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1019
625
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
Dec 17, 3:13 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
26.88%
chance
54
2437
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1363
796
Will the New York Times stop selling printed weekday editions in retail stores by the end of 2025?
Jul 27, 11:04 PM
Jan 15, 10:59 PM
6.23%
chance
3
267
Option
Votes
YES
NO
333
40
Huberman scandal — what will be true by 2026?
Mar 28, 4:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10
477
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