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Prediction markets for New York City

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.63%chance

31839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

954

Will Eric Adams win a second term as mayor of New York City?

Oct 10, 2:15 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

26.05%chance

12588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

973

Will NYC have a white Christmas in 2024? New York City ❄️🎄

Dec 25, 8:00 PMDec 27, 7:59 AM

23.64%chance

131866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

953

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.49%chance

15372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

960

Will Eric Adams be re-elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Sep 13, 8:22 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

433721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

892

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 15, 8:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.16%chance

382209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

954

Will Cruise be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 25, 7:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.66%chance

14513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

938

Will New York City crack down on unlicensed weed dispensaries before the end of 2026?

Apr 14, 11:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.13%chance

5121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

254

103

[M$100 subsidy] Will the Staten Island Railway be connected to the rest of New York City's subway system before 2046?

Sep 28, 1:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.92%chance

5185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

153

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.74%chance

772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

194

In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?

Jun 10, 12:58 AMJul 31, 4:59 AM

2312831

Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 3, 3:14 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.9%chance

111119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1788

923

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