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National Security State News
Prediction markets for National Security State
Prediction markets for National Security State
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60
3217
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
May 27, 2:32 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19.5%
chance
14
1262
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2032
492
Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?
Aug 9, 3:42 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
35.43%
chance
30
772
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1099
909
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
Jun 24, 8:44 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
85.27%
chance
14
826
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1180
932
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Feb 4, 5:32 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4.58%
chance
39
3778
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1762
913
Will António Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary?
Oct 31, 10:24 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15.29%
chance
7
1203
Option
Votes
YES
NO
245
89
Which of Baba Vanga’s (Bulgarian mystic) 2024 predictions will come true?
Nov 8, 4:04 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14
610
Will the TAI TF Kaan have entered service in Turkey by the end of 2030?
Jun 14, 7:59 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
80.12%
chance
3
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
45
DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?
Jan 5, 11:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
27%
chance
2
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
103
50
Will "Serious National Security threat" mentioned by Mike Turner be declassified in 2024
Feb 15, 6:33 AM
Jan 2, 11:59 PM
64.07%
chance
8
259
Option
Votes
YES
NO
191
172
Will El Salvador participate in an intervention in Haiti before the end of 2025?
Mar 10, 5:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
54.91%
chance
4
156
Option
Votes
NO
YES
163
116
Will Taiwan reduce restrictions on civilian gun ownership by the end of 2024?
Jan 22, 6:34 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
10%
chance
8
445
Option
Votes
YES
NO
614
211
Articles
Latest stories
Tucker Carlson Interview with Mike Benz Uncovers Pentagon's Role in Censorship During 2020 US Election
Authors
15
5 months
Politics
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