National Review News

Ted Cruz Probes DOJ's 'Politically-Driven' Prosecution of Texas Whistleblower on Child Trans Procedures
Authors
4
7 days
Texas
Economics
Crime

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.03%chance

144070

OptionVotes

YES

5697

3703

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Jun 17, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.33%chance

1196466

OptionVotes

YES

2035

1852

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

29.99%chance

669182

OptionVotes

YES

1394

752

Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?

Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.18%chance

670

OptionVotes

YES

1151

1114

[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?

Apr 23, 1:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.47%chance

221921

OptionVotes

YES

1052

797

Will the "Carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution" replicate by 2024 August 07?

Aug 7, 6:33 AMAug 7, 2:59 PM

6.85%chance

201833

OptionVotes

YES

1890

730

Will the U.S. invoke the TikTok bill against Twitter?

Mar 26, 1:37 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

5.33%chance

424572

OptionVotes

YES

1355

1099

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?

Jun 17, 6:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.35%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Jun 17, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.34%chance

7144

OptionVotes

YES

240

116

Will Glacier National Park have glaciers in 2032?

Dec 9, 5:33 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

85.58%chance

7183

OptionVotes

YES

258

136

Which countries will graduate from least developed country (LDC) status before 2030?

May 28, 7:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

152688

How will Tesla's 2023 FSD accident rate compare to the US average (independent review)?

Jan 22, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.67%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

310

Latest stories

Ted Cruz Probes DOJ's 'Politically-Driven' Prosecution of Texas Whistleblower on Child Trans Procedures
Authors
4
7 days
Texas
Economics
Crime
Pro-Palestinian Activists to Disrupt DNC, Subvert Biden's Coronation
Authors
4
3 months
Israel
Crime
World
Debate Over Justice Sotomayor's Potential Retirement and Its Political Implications
Authors
7
3 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
Harvard Plans Segregated 'Affinity Celebrations' for 2024 Commencement, NR Reports
Authors
6
3 months
Politics
March 2023: NYC Mayor Skips Taiwan Banquet Hours Before After China's Warning
Authors
6
3 months
China
Economics
World
Stanford Climate Scientist Awarded $500,000 in Legal Fees After Winning Defamation Lawsuit, Next Battle: National Review vs. Mann $1M
Authors
4
4 months
Politics
National Review Seeks $1 Million Legal Fees from Michael Mann; Texas Judge Sanctions Lawyer Over $60,000 in ExxonMobil's Merger
Authors
5
4 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
Nebo, Alpine Districts Hide Gender Transitions; Democrats' Bill Could Label Parents as Abusers
Authors
6
4 months
Politics
HB 4876 and Other Bills Spark Debate on Gender Identity and Parental Rights
Authors
6
4 months
Culture
Mann v. Free Speech: Wharton Statistician Testifies on 'Hockey Stick' Data Manipulation
Authors
4
5 months
Climate
Environment
DC Attorney General Brian Schwalb Emphasizes Non-Arrest Approach to Crime Wave
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
Washington Post Slammed for Abandoning Journalistic Principles Since October 7
Authors
6
5 months
Israel
World
Politics
National Review: Conservative Commentators Accuse Obama of Complicity in Various Issues
Authors
5
8 months
Israel
World
Politics
Trump Appeals Gag Order in Criminal Case Alleging Election Fraud
Authors
17
9 months
Politics

National Review News

Top stories

Prediction markets for National Review

Prediction markets for National Review

Prediction markets for National Review

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?

[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?

Will the "Carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution" replicate by 2024 August 07?

Will the U.S. invoke the TikTok bill against Twitter?

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2035?

Will 10% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Will Glacier National Park have glaciers in 2032?

Which countries will graduate from least developed country (LDC) status before 2030?

How will Tesla's 2023 FSD accident rate compare to the US average (independent review)?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for National Review

Prediction markets for National Review

Prediction markets for National Review

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will 5% (or less) adults smoke cigarettes in England by the end of 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?

[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?