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Prediction markets for National One

Conditional on a warrant, will Netanyahu visit at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction within 6 months?

May 21, 1:46 AMMay 23, 6:59 AM

26.82%chance

181538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2486

898

Will India adopt a 'One nation, one election' system by 2025?

Sep 5, 9:07 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

19.61%chance

291582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

807

Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?

May 9, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

774040

How much time left until drones completely replace soldiers (army, navy and air/space force) in at least one nation?

Aug 6, 6:44 PMAug 6, 9:59 PM

13583

Will more nations win at least one medal at the 2024 Paris Olympics than they did at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics?

Feb 27, 3:29 PMAug 14, 2:29 PM

47.2%chance

6111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

192

168

Will at least one state that enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact withdraw from it by EOY 2035?

Apr 23, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.86%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

116

What will be true of the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia?

Jan 3, 12:55 PMSep 27, 1:59 PM

14759

What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)

Jan 30, 3:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11144025

Which Australian political party will become the dominant party after the next House election (as of Feb 2024)?

Feb 9, 2:30 AMSep 28, 3:59 AM

93644

Australia: Next Queensland Election - Sworn in Government

Mar 26, 7:06 AMOct 25, 1:59 PM

112837

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM

762178706

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.03%chance

144070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5697

3703

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