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Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.95%chance

12441

OptionVotes

YES

1301

860

Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?

Sep 23, 12:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.97%chance

177274

OptionVotes

YES

1138

882

Will the "Carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution" replicate by 2024 August 07?

Aug 7, 6:33 AMAug 7, 2:59 PM

6.85%chance

201833

OptionVotes

YES

1890

730

Will any commercial carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution become operational by 2025?

Aug 7, 6:43 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

5.16%chance

16648

OptionVotes

YES

1606

918

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with an asteroid?

Sep 23, 12:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.64%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

152

Will Tianwen-3 successfully land on Mars?

Sep 23, 12:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.87%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

187

Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?

Sep 23, 12:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.12%chance

435

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?

Mar 30, 10:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.17%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

110

109

Will CNSA's Chang'e 7 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 23, 2:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

93.29%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

398

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with a comet?

Sep 23, 5:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.72%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

179

104

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission launch before 2026?

Sep 23, 12:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.77%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully return a sample from the moon?

Sep 10, 2:26 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

98.88%chance

112289

OptionVotes

YES

2201

National Academies News

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Prediction markets for National Academies

Prediction markets for National Academies

Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?

Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?

Will the "Carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution" replicate by 2024 August 07?

Will any commercial carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution become operational by 2025?

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with an asteroid?

Will Tianwen-3 successfully land on Mars?

Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?

Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?

Will CNSA's Chang'e 7 mission successfully land on the moon?

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with a comet?

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission launch before 2026?

Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully return a sample from the moon?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for National Academies

Prediction markets for National Academies

Prediction markets for National Academies

Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?

Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?

Will the "Carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution" replicate by 2024 August 07?

Will any commercial carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution become operational by 2025?

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with an asteroid?

Will Tianwen-3 successfully land on Mars?

Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?