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Prediction markets for MPS
Prediction markets for MPS
Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?
Jan 28, 6:53 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
59.39%
chance
8
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
215
197
In the next UK general election, will the party with the most MPs need to form a coalition?
Sep 3, 8:59 PM
Nov 1, 11:59 PM
8.75%
chance
6
362
Option
Votes
YES
NO
307
110
How many MPs will defect to another party in 2024?
Oct 13, 7:23 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14
1054
Will there a major change in the election of MPs before 2030? What is the political result at the next election?
Sep 4, 7:47 PM
Sep 11, 10:59 PM
2
40
In 2040, the UK Conservative and Unionist Party has/is … [complete the sentence]
Jan 11, 10:50 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7
259
In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]
Jan 11, 10:54 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11
706
Will Dominic Cummings launch a new "startup" party before the next UK General Election?
Aug 15, 12:49 PM
Jan 31, 11:59 PM
6.87%
chance
40
6682
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4977
1151
Will Labour win at least 400 seats in the next UK general election?
Mar 31, 1:57 PM
Jan 28, 11:59 PM
85.31%
chance
28
2535
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2197
181
If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
Mar 11, 3:38 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45.95%
chance
18
590
Option
Votes
YES
NO
999
998
If Biden wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
Mar 11, 3:38 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.15%
chance
14
360
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1012
982
Will the UK ban or restrict arms sales to Israel in 2024?
Apr 3, 12:26 PM
Dec 22, 11:59 PM
22.37%
chance
27
1351
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1415
779
The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026
Aug 30, 12:26 PM
Jan 6, 11:59 PM
15%
chance
28
2444
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1012
721
Articles
Latest stories
Milwaukee Public Schools Faces Financial Scrutiny Amid Delayed Reports and Withheld $16.6M, $17M State Aid
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27 days
Chicago
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Milwaukee Public Schools Superintendent Posley Faces Dismissal, Financial Leadership in Focus
Authors
4
1 month
Chicago
Politics
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