Move Forward News

Thai Court to Rule on PM Srettha Thavisin and Move Forward Party Cases by September
Authors
5
23 hours
China
Asia
World

Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?

Aug 30, 9:29 PMSep 7, 3:59 AM

81.18%chance

538818

OptionVotes

YES

1171

930

[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?

Nov 23, 9:13 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

11843689

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.63%chance

14934559

OptionVotes

YES

1084

947

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Dec 1, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.23%chance

3310201

OptionVotes

YES

3317

838

Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

33.7%chance

224349

OptionVotes

YES

1011

930

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

Jun 9, 4:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.86%chance

10457

OptionVotes

YES

1389

720

Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?

Nov 28, 5:09 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

15%chance

837570

OptionVotes

YES

1602

947

Will my stock trading model exceed 100% CAGR?

Jan 23, 3:07 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

18.37%chance

369823

OptionVotes

YES

1217

910

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

Dec 31, 4:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20%chance

10274

OptionVotes

YES

1035

975

4) The most advanced closed models will continue to outperform the most advanced open models by a meaningful margin.

Dec 25, 1:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

92.3%chance

371358

OptionVotes

YES

1549

911

Smooth StreetView for Urbana, IL by 2025-03-03?

Mar 3, 10:50 AMMar 3, 11:59 PM

33.6%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will any US utility announce their intent to build a large nuclear power plant (ESBWR or AP1000) in the US in 2024.

Jan 9, 12:47 PMDec 31, 12:31 PM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

Latest stories

Thai Court to Rule on PM Srettha Thavisin and Move Forward Party Cases by September
Authors
5
23 hours
China
Asia
World
Thailand Seeks Life Bans for Pro-Democracy Lawmakers, Pita Limjaroenrat Gets Suspended Sentences, Indonesia Faces Political Crackdown Ahead of Presidential Election
Authors
4
5 months
South America
World
Thai Activists File Petition for Life Bans on Move Forward Party Lawmakers
Authors
4
5 months
Economics
Business
Thai Court Rules Move Forward Party's Proposal to Amend Royal Insult Law Unconstitutional
Authors
6
5 months
Economics
Business

Move Forward News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Move Forward

Prediction markets for Move Forward

Prediction markets for Move Forward

Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?

[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?

Will my stock trading model exceed 100% CAGR?

Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?

4) The most advanced closed models will continue to outperform the most advanced open models by a meaningful margin.

Smooth StreetView for Urbana, IL by 2025-03-03?

Will any US utility announce their intent to build a large nuclear power plant (ESBWR or AP1000) in the US in 2024.

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Move Forward

Prediction markets for Move Forward

Prediction markets for Move Forward

Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?

[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Cyber truck drives on moon or other solar planetary body