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Prediction markets for Member

Will the five most valuable members of the S&P 500 be more than 21% of the index's value in 2025?

Apr 30, 7:35 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

77.93%chance

15940365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

21958

9287

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Jul 20, 6:51 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

82.52%chance

131812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

133

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

20.1%chance

602921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3113

1232

Will a U.S. state recognize marriages with more than two members?

May 23, 12:25 AMJan 19, 4:14 AM

41.2%chance

492045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

956

Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?

Jan 14, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.57%chance

854709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

1420

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?

Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.22%chance

31996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

983

981

Will any of the Data Colada members settle the lawsuit brought against them by Gino before 2026?

Aug 22, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.17%chance

10778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

1074

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?

Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25%chance

20440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

909

Will Lauren Bobert be a member of the 119th Congress?

Mar 27, 2:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.31%chance

263130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2149

185

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?

Apr 18, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.04%chance

412198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

709

Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Mar 31, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.55%chance

131083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2323

1089

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.39%chance

211033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

978

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Sweden's NATO Accession Postponed, Awaiting Hungary's New President
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