Media Lab News

Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?

Jun 19, 5:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.82%chance

191266

OptionVotes

YES

1171

854

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Jul 15, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.27%chance

575534

OptionVotes

YES

1533

655

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.92%chance

798060

OptionVotes

YES

1634

916

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

May 23, 1:04 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

87.86%chance

305941

OptionVotes

YES

2690

372

Will Inflection AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Jun 30, 9:13 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.07%chance

251692

OptionVotes

YES

1471

788

Will Inflection AI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jun 30, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.1%chance

261693

OptionVotes

YES

1293

801

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?

May 27, 8:49 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

34%chance

27780

OptionVotes

YES

1258

703

Will someone convince me of ANYTHING that contradicts my (essentially mainstream) knowledge of COVID before 2026?

Jan 1, 1:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.91%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

115

104

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

YES

223

191

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 60% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?

May 27, 11:08 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

32.8%chance

558

OptionVotes

YES

166

106

Will abiogenesis be demonstrated in the lab?

Jan 23, 5:33 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

402315

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

Latest stories

New Ultrasound Device ImPULS for Safer Deep Brain Stimulation in Parkinson’s Disease
Authors
8
29 days
Bio
Science
Media Lab student leads team in developing low-cost, programmable shape-shifting fiber with conductive thread
Authors
5
8 months
Tech

Media Lab News

Prediction markets for Media Lab

Prediction markets for Media Lab

Prediction markets for Media Lab

Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will Inflection AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Will Inflection AI Reach Major Lab Status?

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?

Will someone convince me of ANYTHING that contradicts my (essentially mainstream) knowledge of COVID before 2026?

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 60% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?

Will abiogenesis be demonstrated in the lab?

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Media Lab

Prediction markets for Media Lab

Prediction markets for Media Lab

Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will Inflection AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Will Inflection AI Reach Major Lab Status?

Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?