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Mastodon News
Prediction markets for Mastodon
Prediction markets for Mastodon
Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
Nov 25, 9:28 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
15.75%
chance
32
1565
Option
Votes
NO
YES
974
942
Mastodon will be more than 1% as big as Twitter in 2030
Apr 11, 3:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
47.86%
chance
12
272
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1010
985
Will Tumblr be fediblocked by a majority of the top 10 Mastodon instances by MAU, 6 months after implementation?
Dec 8, 8:48 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31.94%
chance
16
256
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1069
953
Will Bluesky have more active users than Mastodon by the end of 2025?
Apr 12, 11:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
55%
chance
15
328
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
956
Will Elon Musk join Mastodon by the end of 2024?
Jan 30, 9:44 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
7.8%
chance
11
441
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1237
949
Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Dec 21, 12:10 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.71%
chance
10
419
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1191
957
Will Misskey Significantly Gain on Mastodon by end of 2024?
Jul 14, 5:52 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
44.23%
chance
3
16
Option
Votes
YES
NO
76
65
Will Lemmy Significantly Gain on Mastodon by end of 2024?
Jul 14, 5:42 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
36.59%
chance
5
46
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
88
Will I be on Mastodon by the end of 2024?
Dec 20, 7:41 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
24.84%
chance
9
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
214
146
Will Threads interoperate with Mastodon before the end of 2024?
Dec 27, 12:27 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
83.41%
chance
8
210
Option
Votes
NO
YES
354
121
Best General, Not Necessarily Research-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)
Apr 4, 3:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
6
173
What will the dominant social media protocol be at the end of 2028?
Apr 29, 6:32 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30
1126
Articles
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Bluesky Hires Dublin-based Aaron Rodericks, Introduces Hashtag Support & Improved Account Portability
Authors
4
4 months
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Authors
4
5 months
Culture
Mastodon Founder Touts Threads’ Federation, Zuckerberg Expands Threads to Europe
Authors
6
7 months
Politics
Meta's Threads Tests Mastodon Integration, Enters EU Market
Authors
23
7 months
Tech
Sky Ferreira's Debut Album 'Night Time, My Time' Marks 10th Anniversary, Released in 2013
Authors
5
8 months
Culture
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