Market Maker News

Iggy Azalea Incorporates 'Mother', Signs Deal with Major Market Maker, and Gains dYdX Chain Support
Authors
4
12 days
Crypto

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Apr 10, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

372

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Dec 10, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

61661

Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?

May 27, 10:51 PMSep 1, 6:59 AM

16.08%chance

2414357

OptionVotes

YES

15772

9592

Will A.I. Have Significantly More Common Sense by end of 2024?

Mar 17, 5:05 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.96%chance

675189

OptionVotes

YES

1716

271

Will Manifold support the creation of conditional or logically defined derivatives by 2025?

Sep 12, 4:59 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

40.15%chance

251148

OptionVotes

YES

1285

737

Will 3Blue1Brown publish a video about nice numbers by end of 2024?

Mar 9, 2:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.58%chance

565448

OptionVotes

YES

2536

768

Will another robotic dog be shot in 2024?

Mar 28, 2:41 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

37.71%chance

25712

OptionVotes

YES

1081

923

Is Baidu's Ernie 4.0 on par with GPT-4?

Oct 22, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.54%chance

23989

OptionVotes

YES

1061

969

Will "Parametrically retargetable decision-makers t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 5:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.34%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

992

Will Questions of the form "Will this question go below X% before R" be banned by manifold markets before 2025?

Aug 3, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

13443

OptionVotes

YES

1329

924

Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 6, 5:38 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

92.54%chance

10278

OptionVotes

YES

1278

946

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.2%chance

141344

OptionVotes

YES

1505

899

Latest stories

Iggy Azalea Incorporates 'Mother', Signs Deal with Major Market Maker, and Gains dYdX Chain Support
Authors
4
12 days
Crypto

Market Maker News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Market Maker

Prediction markets for Market Maker

Prediction markets for Market Maker

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?

Will A.I. Have Significantly More Common Sense by end of 2024?

Will Manifold support the creation of conditional or logically defined derivatives by 2025?

Will 3Blue1Brown publish a video about nice numbers by end of 2024?

Will another robotic dog be shot in 2024?

Is Baidu's Ernie 4.0 on par with GPT-4?

Will "Parametrically retargetable decision-makers t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will Questions of the form "Will this question go below X% before R" be banned by manifold markets before 2025?

Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Market Maker

Prediction markets for Market Maker

Prediction markets for Market Maker

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?

Will A.I. Have Significantly More Common Sense by end of 2024?

Will Manifold support the creation of conditional or logically defined derivatives by 2025?