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BGLS
MANHATTAN BAGEL CO INC
BGLS
MANHATTAN BAGEL CO INC
Prediction markets for Manhattan
Prediction markets for Manhattan
Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)
Feb 6, 6:25 AM
Jan 2, 2:59 AM
27.05%
chance
13
361
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1011
937
"Manhattan Project" for AGI before 2029?
Jun 7, 1:13 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25.91%
chance
21
2549
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1691
591
Which consequences will Donald Trump face?
Jan 23, 6:47 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
11
204
π Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
241
250040
Where will I live in September 2024?
Oct 23, 7:31 PM
Sep 16, 3:59 AM
4
315
[ADD ANSWERS] Conditional market: Given various events, who will win each state in the 2024 US presidential election?
Apr 14, 6:45 PM
Nov 5, 7:59 AM
19
973
Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?
Mar 17, 1:07 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22%
chance
9
209
Option
Votes
YES
NO
291
124
Will Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ) be convicted?
Sep 28, 12:30 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
85.54%
chance
46
8273
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3530
1247
Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?
May 22, 8:25 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
80.38%
chance
8
1070
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2024
494
Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 6:13 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
55%
chance
40
3862
Option
Votes
YES
NO
979
978
Will at least 10 people self immolate in protest (of something) this year?
Apr 22, 9:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14.47%
chance
18
552
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1323
897
Will we get in the pod and eat the bugs?
Sep 14, 5:02 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
17.24%
chance
29
2042
Option
Votes
NO
YES
985
944
Articles
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5
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5
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4
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4
8 months
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8
8 months
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