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Lot 15 News
Prediction markets for Lot 15
Prediction markets for Lot 15
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
513
325877
If a definitive genetic study of race and intelligence gets performed, what will the W/B genetic g difference be?
Mar 7, 9:01 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
65.91%
chance
12
3595
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1077
949
Will data from the James Webb Space Telescope disprove the Big Bang?
Aug 15, 1:06 PM
Dec 23, 4:59 AM
8.1%
chance
61
5772
Option
Votes
YES
NO
987
795
Will I regret the extra time spent working to save up for my wedding?
May 16, 3:51 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
69.17%
chance
4
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
67
Which of the following games will I enjoy playing on the PS5? (spend > 10 hours playing in 2024)
Feb 20, 8:18 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
7
190
What Year will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?
Nov 29, 6:35 PM
Apr 2, 6:59 AM
2
1060
What will my heartrate measure at the end of 2024?
Dec 2, 4:12 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
49.75%
chance
3
68
Option
Votes
YES
NO
257
220
What illnesses will I learn that I have conditional on investigating?
Nov 16, 2:05 AM
Nov 23, 7:59 AM
2
26
Will anyone prompt a GPT model to play "Colossal Cave Adventure" well by the end of 2024?
Jun 25, 1:59 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
63.82%
chance
8
161
Option
Votes
NO
YES
226
161
will the newly-FDA-approved treatments for Sickle Cell Disease be accessible by EOY 2025?
Dec 8, 9:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
66.93%
chance
6
63
Option
Votes
NO
YES
182
129
Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?
Aug 4, 4:16 PM
Aug 4, 10:59 PM
4.74%
chance
10
758
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1188
960
What quarter will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?
Nov 29, 6:12 PM
Apr 2, 6:59 AM
8
276
Articles
Latest stories
Sotheby's to Auction 3 Arrows Capital's Gold-Fur NFT Set Valued at $806,545; Reserve Price Met
Authors
7
15 days
NFT
Crypto
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