Light News

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.43%chance

68126363

OptionVotes

YES

1416

1372

Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?

Jun 10, 8:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.68%chance

3511

OptionVotes

YES

10472

9549

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Mar 6, 8:47 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

6.69%chance

13221418

OptionVotes

YES

7386

637

Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?

Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47%chance

8229

OptionVotes

YES

161

118

Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?

Mar 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.37%chance

784951

OptionVotes

YES

1166

327

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Aug 16, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51%chance

5331083

OptionVotes

YES

1028

933

[ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMDec 21, 2:00 PM

5.1%chance

657878

OptionVotes

YES

3548

104

Will any human-made object go faster than 1% of the speed of light before 2060?

Mar 1, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.26%chance

30858

OptionVotes

YES

1149

871

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?

Jun 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.97%chance

7435

OptionVotes

YES

1278

782

There are no aliens or distinguishable alien materials within 100 light-years of Earth.

Mar 25, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

66.11%chance

371809

OptionVotes

YES

1024

899

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Oct 4, 5:17 PMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.85%chance

211045

OptionVotes

YES

1235

907

If individuals test out the "flashing lights improve learning speed" hypothesis, will they get positive results?

Feb 9, 7:56 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

23.48%chance

15490

OptionVotes

YES

1131

929

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Light News

Prediction markets for Light

Prediction markets for Light

Prediction markets for Light

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?

Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

[ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Will any human-made object go faster than 1% of the speed of light before 2060?

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?

There are no aliens or distinguishable alien materials within 100 light-years of Earth.

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

If individuals test out the "flashing lights improve learning speed" hypothesis, will they get positive results?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Light

Prediction markets for Light

Prediction markets for Light

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?

Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

[ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Will any human-made object go faster than 1% of the speed of light before 2060?

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?