Kaggle News

Will the winner of the ARC Kaggle competition solve more than 50% of the tasks

Jun 12, 11:19 AMNov 4, 10:59 PM

74.67%chance

243845

OptionVotes

YES

1717

582

Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used to win a prize in a Kaggle competition before 2025?

May 3, 2:42 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.36%chance

18437

OptionVotes

YES

1163

933

How many problems will be solved by the winning solution in the Kaggle AI/MO competition?

Apr 6, 3:07 AMJun 30, 2:59 AM

101636

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.24%chance

696475

OptionVotes

YES

1684

1350

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2025?

Aug 16, 3:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.97%chance

111243

OptionVotes

YES

1075

965

Will Deep Learning Models Beat Classical ML algorithms on tabular data in 2028?

Oct 9, 8:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.59%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2028?

Aug 16, 3:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.87%chance

10191

OptionVotes

YES

264

147

Will Manifold add more features by June2024 which make comments more of a first class output?

Dec 9, 5:48 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

57.59%chance

343

OptionVotes

YES

Will manifold implement a policy whereby suggestions on discord will be encouraged to have an associated market?

Dec 8, 7:45 PMDec 14, 7:59 AM

66.95%chance

327

OptionVotes

YES

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Kaggle News

Prediction markets for Kaggle

Prediction markets for Kaggle

Prediction markets for Kaggle

Will the winner of the ARC Kaggle competition solve more than 50% of the tasks

Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used to win a prize in a Kaggle competition before 2025?

How many problems will be solved by the winning solution in the Kaggle AI/MO competition?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2025?

Will Deep Learning Models Beat Classical ML algorithms on tabular data in 2028?

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2028?

Will Manifold add more features by June2024 which make comments more of a first class output?

Will manifold implement a policy whereby suggestions on discord will be encouraged to have an associated market?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Kaggle

Prediction markets for Kaggle

Prediction markets for Kaggle

Will the winner of the ARC Kaggle competition solve more than 50% of the tasks

Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used to win a prize in a Kaggle competition before 2025?

How many problems will be solved by the winning solution in the Kaggle AI/MO competition?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2025?

Will Deep Learning Models Beat Classical ML algorithms on tabular data in 2028?

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2028?

Will Manifold add more features by June2024 which make comments more of a first class output?

Will manifold implement a policy whereby suggestions on discord will be encouraged to have an associated market?

Latest stories