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Just Facts News
Prediction markets for Just Facts
Prediction markets for Just Facts
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AM
Mar 1, 12:59 PM
6.85%
chance
84
6140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1823
1536
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
49
8156
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291498
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]
Oct 10, 10:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
46
8703
What string, if submitted as a response choice below, would a much wiser version of me most appreciate being submitted?
Mar 29, 6:07 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10
148
How many 2016 facts will be true in 2024 general? (A) Trump is GOP nominee, (b) GOP loses popular, (c) GOP wins election
Oct 10, 11:13 PM
Dec 1, 4:59 AM
6
236
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19
8882
The 10 worst things about the 'Right Wing' such as Ben Shapiro/Nick Fuentes?
Apr 7, 12:52 AM
Feb 1, 5:59 AM
21
2577
What's the best way for a politician to say "I lied"?
Nov 27, 2:10 AM
Dec 4, 4:59 AM
20
585
Why is there something rather than nothing?
Sep 7, 4:08 PM
Apr 21, 3:59 AM
4
102
How will Emily Freitag judge her 2024 predictions for U.S. K-12 education?
Jan 9, 10:47 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
2
11
In which decade will the prime factors of RSA-2048 first be known?
Jul 27, 10:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
2
60
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Study Finds 10-27% of 30 Million Non-Citizens Illegally Registered to Vote in U.S.
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7
2 months
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