Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
cbdcs
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Jews News
Prediction markets for Jews
Prediction markets for Jews
Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?
Feb 29, 1:14 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
61.04%
chance
19
1747
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1196
838
What portion of US Jews will identify as Democrats in 2031?
Nov 13, 12:44 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
62.21%
chance
12
455
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1023
982
Will Israel end the military conscription exemption for Haredi (ultra-Orthodox Jews) before the next general election?
Mar 26, 1:39 PM
Nov 24, 11:59 PM
71.16%
chance
35
2799
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1168
876
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
Nov 23, 10:01 PM
Dec 2, 6:59 AM
18.45%
chance
6
89
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
119
Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be drafted April 1st and will that bring down Netanyahu's coalition?
Mar 15, 6:30 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
17
5652
Will either the Republican or Democratic party of a Jew on the presidential ticket in 2024?
Mar 16, 6:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4%
chance
8
677
Option
Votes
YES
NO
797
112
Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)
Oct 16, 1:57 AM
0
0
🌭What will happen in July 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Jan 2, 5:01 AM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
62
9257
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
111
44025
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
257
312755
Will any explicitly leftist, pro-Palastine US organization or individual kill a Jewish person in the US before 2025?
Dec 6, 1:50 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
17.4%
chance
31
2632
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1814
668
✡️ Will there be a significant migration of Jewish voters from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party in 2024?
Mar 20, 6:07 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
24.64%
chance
21
534
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1037
955
Articles
Latest stories
AOC Criticized for Remarks on Antisemitism and Progressive Movement
Authors
11
20 days
Politics
Nazis' Presence at CPAC and in Conservative Movement Raises Concerns over Massachusetts GOP Candidate's Ban on Trans Individuals and Exile of Jews
Authors
7
4 months
Culture
Kanye West Sparks Controversy with Vegas Rave Shutdown, Antisemitic Rant, Yeezy Shoe Unveiling, and Larry Hoover Demand
Authors
23
7 months
Culture
Previous
Next
