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ISW News
Prediction markets for ISW
Prediction markets for ISW
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
Jun 13, 6:46 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
6.07%
chance
241
439275
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8013
564
[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
May 18, 4:42 PM
Jan 2, 9:00 AM
29.47%
chance
7
810
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1547
646
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
Nov 7, 2:14 PM
Jan 2, 2:00 PM
49.32%
chance
11
456
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1054
935
[ACX 2024] Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Jan 1, 7:00 PM
5.85%
chance
82
39541
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3002
892
Will russia invade Sumy oblast before 1st of July 2024
May 16, 5:19 PM
Jul 1, 9:59 PM
3.9%
chance
5
465
Option
Votes
YES
NO
496
20
Articles
Latest stories
US Debates Preventing PRC Annexation of Taiwan Amid Coercion Concerns with China and ISW Insights
Authors
4
2 months
China
Ukraine
World
Russia Uses "Infantry-Heavy" Attacks, Assembles Over 100,000 Soldiers for Summer Offensive
Authors
4
3 months
Britain
World
European Leaders Warn of Potential Russia-NATO Conflict by 2026/27
Authors
14
3 months
Ukraine
World
Biden Officials Absent, Silence on 2024-02-24 Ukraine Invasion Anniversary
Authors
5
4 months
Ukraine
World
Medvedev Suggests Annexation of Kyiv and Odesa; EU and ISW React
Authors
6
4 months
Ukraine
World
Russian Offensive Compromises Avdiivka's Defense, Reports Kiev Independent and ISW
Authors
5
5 months
Ukraine
World
NATO's Stoltenberg Links Ukraine to Taiwan, Escalating World War Fears
Authors
4
5 months
China
World
Politics
Putin Vows to Integrate Occupied Ukrainian Regions, Accuses Military of Terrorism by 2030
Authors
11
5 months
Ukraine
World
Putin Vows on Jan 31 to Integrate Occupied Ukraine by 2030 Amid 'Demilitarized Zone' Tensions
Authors
7
5 months
Ukraine
World
Russian Propaganda Accused of Fueling Genocidal Rhetoric and Exploiting Nationalist Sentiments Against Ukraine, ISW Report Highlights
Authors
10
5 months
Ukraine
World
ISW: Russia Destabilizing Moldova, Exploiting Nationalism in Europe
Authors
8
5 months
Ukraine
World
China Deploys Four Warships, Including Missile Destroyer, Around Taiwan
Authors
11
5 months
China
World
Politics
Russian Forces Seize Krokhmalne in Kharkiv, Escalate Attacks Jan 20-22
Authors
14
5 months
Ukraine
World
U.S. Warns of Russian Disinfo Targeting Ukraine and NATO Before 2024 Votes
Authors
5
5 months
Ukraine
World
Tencent's NOWLive Ceases Operations; XGO's New App; Russia's Limited Gain in Marinka; Harbour's 'Stranger Things' Dare
Authors
10
6 months
China
World
Culture
Tencent's NOWLive Taken Down; CA Fast Food Workers' Pay Hike Satirized; EU Wastes $4.3B Vaccines
Authors
9
6 months
China
World
Tech
Ukraine Reports 465 Chemical Attacks by Russia, Admits Use of Prohibited Chemical Weapons in December, ISW Confirms Krynky as Location
Authors
5
6 months
Ukraine
World
Ukrainian Troops Secure Foothold on Dnieper River's Left Bank, Push Russian Forces Back, ISW Reports Ongoing Krynky Battles
Authors
5
8 months
Ukraine
World
Ukrainian Forces Advance 10 Meters Every Day in Bakhmut Area, Russians Strengthen Presence in Kupiansk Direction
Authors
4
8 months
Ukraine
World
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