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IQ

IQIYI INC

3.58-2.45%

IQ

IQIYI INC

3.58-2.45%

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Prediction markets for IQ

What's the average IQ of active manifold users? (PERMANENT)

Apr 27, 8:33 PMDec 27, 10:59 PM

51.03%chance

12397591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

1286

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Jan 15, 8:44 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

43.19%chance

8063454

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

461

What's my IQ? [Ṁ500 subsidy]

Jun 1, 2:20 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.69%chance

363665

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1746

832

What's my IQ?

Jan 29, 7:26 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

63.47%chance

615151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

1071

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Feb 27, 9:20 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

80.57%chance

867069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2102

722

Are we getting less intelligent? Will our IQ scores get lower from now onwards? Are we headed for idiocracy?

Sep 3, 8:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

53.61%chance

21474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

867

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.82%chance

15225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

976

Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?

Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.19%chance

12183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

940

Will GPT-5 have an estimated IQ higher than 101?

Apr 9, 7:21 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

77.79%chance

15422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

939

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

Mar 27, 1:00 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20.36%chance

21498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1220

914

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.56%chance

518296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

846

Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?

Jun 23, 1:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.76%chance

23501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

909

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