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Prediction markets for IPCC
Prediction markets for IPCC
AI equivalent of IPCC before 2030?
Jan 12, 9:17 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
56%
chance
5
60
Option
Votes
NO
YES
146
115
Will (global average) sea level rise by more than 1.1 meters (as predicted by the IPCC) by 2100 ?
Oct 16, 10:26 PM
Oct 17, 6:59 AM
10.08%
chance
8
842
Option
Votes
YES
NO
400
66
What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?
Mar 6, 2:38 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
712
AI equivalent of IPCC before 2027?
Jan 12, 9:21 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
29%
chance
5
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
112
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
Oct 30, 3:05 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
56.27%
chance
16
451
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1079
923
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