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Prediction markets for Investor Relations

Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1000 from Manifold "prize points" in 2024?

Apr 24, 4:07 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59%chance

798901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2574

2232

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.45%chance

2217148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

956

Will "The Container Store" $TCS declare bankruptcy before 2026

Feb 2, 8:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.27%chance

755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

995

Will any other high-level academic or public figure resign or be fired because of plagiarism allegations in 2024?

Jan 5, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.37%chance

422980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1483

841

Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Pokémon Sword/Pokémon Shield' at any point before 2025?

May 21, 4:55 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

20.7%chance

211711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1338

716

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2025?

Nov 12, 11:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.19%chance

292659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1419

891

By 2030, will demand for cow products have fallen by 70%?

Feb 23, 12:12 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

10.55%chance

13713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

961

Will the Nintendo Switch become the best-selling game console of all time by outselling the Playstation 2 before 2026?

May 27, 7:32 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

23.81%chance

302195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1566

613

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2024?

Sep 21, 7:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.08%chance

131111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1912

887

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2024?

Sep 21, 7:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.04%chance

111503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1781

908

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.36%chance

5215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

162

Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Super Mario Odyssey' at any point before 2025?

May 21, 4:57 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

2.94%chance

101153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1858

841

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