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Interpol News
Prediction markets for Interpol
Prediction markets for Interpol
How many traders will this market get?
Dec 11, 4:58 AM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
267
255250
Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-12-31? (-1.55 lbs/week)
Jun 8, 3:20 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
40.18%
chance
21
1423
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1220
820
Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
Aug 10, 1:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
25.12%
chance
37
1105
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1247
887
Will glioblastoma (an aggressive brain cancer) have a 5-year relative survival rate greater than 15% in the US in 2035?
Mar 1, 12:24 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
33.58%
chance
13
462
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1121
911
Will human-level automated (AI or otherwise) music transcription exist in 2024?
Mar 3, 10:53 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
42.06%
chance
27
427
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1028
975
Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-07-31? (-1.85 lbs per week)
Nov 19, 8:08 PM
Jul 31, 4:59 AM
6%
chance
20
5136
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3615
514
Will I lose 4.5lbs in 3 weeks over my vacation?
Jun 15, 5:37 PM
Jul 6, 4:59 AM
44.75%
chance
5
52
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
How many Twitter followers will @Mira have? (linked, log, 2024)
Dec 10, 7:15 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
6
536
How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?
Dec 11, 5:43 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8
354
How many distinct schemes are there for predicting a number on Manifold?
Oct 27, 7:00 PM
Oct 28, 6:59 AM
7
695
Will I finish reading the Divine Comedy in the original Italian before 1 January, 2025?
Jul 22, 4:27 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
61.25%
chance
3
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
137
87
How many markets will @Mira create in 2024?
Dec 11, 5:35 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
108
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