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Prediction markets for International Organizations

In 2024, will India or an international organization officially report an outbreak of wheat blast in India?

Dec 2, 1:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.57%chance

244138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2446

946

8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.

Dec 25, 1:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.29%chance

515113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

893

Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?

Sep 15, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.4%chance

13036732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23012

2256

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.47%chance

1185297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

1369

Will international tourism revenue exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024?

Dec 2, 1:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.25%chance

403110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2954

955

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.55%chance

261714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

926

Will Venezuela have free elections in 2024?

Oct 16, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.18%chance

655744

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1611

1108

[ACX 2024] Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

20%chance

779707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

951

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.39%chance

14835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

740

Will any country admit to sending troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?

Apr 7, 9:55 AMJan 3, 5:59 AM

78.52%chance

403485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1917

310

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

26.68%chance

16748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

950

Will the assasination attempt at Slovakian PM Fico be used to crack down on opposition/press by May 2025?

May 16, 10:01 AMMay 1, 9:59 PM

48.08%chance

15390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

996

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