Internal Security News

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.39%chance

14835

OptionVotes

YES

1351

740

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Mar 17, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

55.31%chance

481704

OptionVotes

YES

1071

921

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

May 20, 5:59 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

18.69%chance

9914895

OptionVotes

YES

2086

479

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

26.68%chance

16748

OptionVotes

YES

1102

950

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Apr 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

34.27%chance

11184

OptionVotes

YES

1041

969

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Oct 17, 12:20 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.69%chance

1009415

OptionVotes

YES

1426

835

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

Feb 25, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.96%chance

17584

OptionVotes

YES

1273

832

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.83%chance

14769

OptionVotes

YES

1053

941

Will there be a software security incident caused by the new .zip TLD before the end of 2024?

May 14, 9:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.48%chance

366181

OptionVotes

YES

3712

424

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

7.23%chance

11377

OptionVotes

YES

1141

963

Which Australian politician was recruited by foreign intelligence?

Feb 29, 1:44 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6153

🏅🇧🇷 In which modalities will Brazil win gold at the 2024 Olympic Games?

Mar 31, 4:08 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM

6970

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Internal Security News

Prediction markets for Internal Security

Prediction markets for Internal Security

Prediction markets for Internal Security

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Will there be a software security incident caused by the new .zip TLD before the end of 2024?

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Which Australian politician was recruited by foreign intelligence?

🏅🇧🇷 In which modalities will Brazil win gold at the 2024 Olympic Games?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Internal Security

Prediction markets for Internal Security

Prediction markets for Internal Security

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?