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Prediction markets for Intelligent Cloud
Prediction markets for Intelligent Cloud
5) A number of Fortune 500 companies will create a new C-suite position: Chief AI Officer.
Dec 25, 1:35 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.04%
chance
25
1160
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1430
867
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2025?
Jun 1, 6:48 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
31.28%
chance
5
112
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
88
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?
Jun 1, 6:47 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
81.62%
chance
5
87
Option
Votes
NO
YES
196
74
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?
Jun 1, 6:49 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
52%
chance
8
137
Option
Votes
YES
NO
152
140
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?
Jun 1, 6:51 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
43.99%
chance
5
142
Option
Votes
YES
NO
121
99
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?
Jun 1, 6:50 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
64%
chance
4
37
Option
Votes
NO
YES
108
76
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?
Jun 1, 6:48 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
52%
chance
4
77
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
67
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2025?
Jun 1, 6:47 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
63%
chance
6
109
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
77
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:53 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
33.78%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
90
56
Will Michael Saylor show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?
Oct 4, 2:09 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
13.85%
chance
6
367
Option
Votes
YES
NO
309
48
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:51 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
66%
chance
5
42
Option
Votes
NO
YES
97
51
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?
Jun 1, 6:50 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
76.42%
chance
1
40
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
48
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Authors
31
5 months
Economics
AI
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Microsoft Q1 Sales Beat Expectations, Driven by Cloud and AI Growth
Authors
26
8 months
Economics
AI
Business
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