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Intelligence Directorate News
Top stories
Belarus Begins Sudden Military Readiness Check on June 21 Amid Rising Tensions with Ukraine
Authors
5
9 days
Ukraine
World
Prediction markets for Intelligence Directorate
Prediction markets for Intelligence Directorate
Will the Director of National Intelligence believe Havana Syndrome is caused by a foreign adversary in 2024?
Apr 5, 9:22 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9.12%
chance
12
610
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1396
911
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
Jul 31, 6:53 PM
Jul 19, 6:59 AM
1606
3089667
Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?
Apr 12, 8:49 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
34.04%
chance
19
700
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1003
994
Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?
May 8, 5:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.12%
chance
35
1151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1042
969
Will it be confirmed before 2026 that there was a letter to the board of OpenAI motivated by AI breakthrough?
Nov 23, 12:25 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6.75%
chance
3
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
358
47
Articles
Latest stories
Belarus Begins Sudden Military Readiness Check on June 21 Amid Rising Tensions with Ukraine
Authors
5
9 days
Ukraine
World
Hamas, Likened to ISIS, Blocks Evacuation in Northern Gaza, IDF's Unit 504 Reports; Gazans Return North Despite Danger
Authors
10
8 months
Israel
World
Politics
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