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Prediction markets for Integration

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Feb 22, 8:27 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.27%chance

19740224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6786

484

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.63%chance

424017

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3628

1266

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Apr 1, 6:10 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

75.47%chance

422772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2153

811

Will Bloomberg terminals have a Manifold integration before 2026?

Aug 28, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

452461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1663

1315

Will Google integrate Bitcoin Lightning payments in the Play Store by the end of 2025?

May 17, 12:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

12.31%chance

314781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2669

375

Will the first AI to get IMO Gold integrate Lean?

Dec 11, 12:22 AMDec 15, 12:22 AM

41.49%chance

15583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

928

Will Facebook integrate a chatbot into the newsfeed by the end of 2024?

Jan 2, 12:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.21%chance

23467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

988

Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊

Apr 13, 6:53 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

25.7%chance

15264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

964

Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?

Jan 19, 9:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.72%chance

261227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

957

Will the U.S. say they are going to defend Guyana's territorial integrity by force by 2024 year end?

Dec 7, 5:26 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

22.33%chance

18378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1208

915

Will any restaurant serve hybrid-rice (rice grains integrated with animal cells) regularly by the end of 2026?

Feb 18, 2:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.02%chance

381322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

857

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.34%chance

172705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

913

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