Institute News

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.44%chance

3210

OptionVotes

YES

1576

1429

If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.74%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

1645

1373

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

24.42%chance

234417

OptionVotes

YES

1009

968

Will Israel institute mandatory conscription for Haredi men before 2030?

Nov 18, 10:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.23%chance

201289

OptionVotes

YES

1108

784

[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 9:00 AM

29.47%chance

7810

OptionVotes

YES

1547

646

Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?

Apr 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.83%chance

14541

OptionVotes

YES

1117

939

Will Trump shut down the US AI Safety Institute in 2025 if elected?

Apr 22, 1:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.95%chance

13486

OptionVotes

YES

1159

899

🗳️🧮☑️ Ballot Props: Will Nevada institute rank choice voting after the 2024 elections?

Feb 27, 2:33 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

61.74%chance

12207

OptionVotes

YES

1012

985

Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040

May 16, 12:04 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

39.3%chance

18170

OptionVotes

YES

1036

972

Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?

Aug 26, 3:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.63%chance

361675

OptionVotes

YES

1162

882

Will Americans' overall confidence in US institutions decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Nov 11, 11:09 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

85.95%chance

19774

OptionVotes

YES

1287

925

Will regulators make rules against institutional investment (e.g. pension funds) in crypto related assets? Before 2025

Nov 12, 1:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.38%chance

22829

OptionVotes

YES

1321

779

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Institute News

Prediction markets for Institute

Prediction markets for Institute

Prediction markets for Institute

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Will Israel institute mandatory conscription for Haredi men before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?

Will Trump shut down the US AI Safety Institute in 2025 if elected?

🗳️🧮☑️ Ballot Props: Will Nevada institute rank choice voting after the 2024 elections?

Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040

Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?

Will Americans' overall confidence in US institutions decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Will regulators make rules against institutional investment (e.g. pension funds) in crypto related assets? Before 2025

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Institute

Prediction markets for Institute

Prediction markets for Institute

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Will Israel institute mandatory conscription for Haredi men before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?

Will Trump shut down the US AI Safety Institute in 2025 if elected?