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Innovation Engines News
Prediction markets for Innovation Engines
Prediction markets for Innovation Engines
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
58.11%
chance
27
1627
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1112
876
In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?
Dec 31, 7:46 PM
Jan 1, 10:46 PM
48%
chance
18
570
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1088
855
Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?
May 13, 3:52 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
9%
chance
15
1162
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1569
823
Which milestones in biomedical engineering will be achieved by 2030?
Mar 10, 12:26 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
7
120
Will SABRE be tested in Earth's atmosphere by a free-flying aircraft before 2035?
May 13, 3:30 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
76.42%
chance
1
40
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
48
Will Lucid and Aston Martin announce a merger by EOY 2024?
Feb 4, 9:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.84%
chance
6
123
Option
Votes
YES
NO
288
226
Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?
May 13, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
25.62%
chance
4
55
Option
Votes
YES
NO
185
100
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
17
0
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NSF Awards Funding for Scientific Innovation and Technology Advancement in IL, NM, NC, and CO
Authors
6
5 months
Politics
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