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Prediction markets for Information Technologies and Communications

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

6823983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26232

3281

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.64%chance

531765

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

1029

Will Brazil bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 10:02 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32.43%chance

542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

107

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67.8%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

86

Will Vietnam bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 5, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38.3%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

60.44%chance

245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

76

63

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

58.35%chance

337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

95

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.51%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

191

Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.4%chance

223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

73

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

60.44%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

85

58

Will Pakistan bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38.7%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

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