Industries News

Will space mining evolve from a theoretical industry into a practical industry in the next 25 years?

Sep 27, 12:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45%chance

351655

OptionVotes

YES

1061

908

Will these industries@countries have larger revenues in 2024 than in 2023?

Dec 21, 7:41 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

227

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

1030

981

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

Apr 8, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.25%chance

12323

OptionVotes

YES

1045

975

Will Terraform Industries begin to commercialize in 2024?

Mar 13, 8:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.36%chance

213165

OptionVotes

YES

1128

925

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

36.63%chance

10258

OptionVotes

YES

1005

968

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Oct 16, 9:55 PMOct 17, 6:59 AM

85.41%chance

373042

OptionVotes

YES

1467

929

Will Terraform Industries have a functional full-scale terraformer in 2024?

Feb 8, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.82%chance

214294

OptionVotes

YES

1148

935

Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?

Mar 31, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

75.32%chance

221857

OptionVotes

YES

1137

869

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

85.33%chance

321321

OptionVotes

YES

1603

814

Will Netflix Inc reinforce its position in the gaming industry through a sizeable ($1b+) acquisition by the end of 2024?

Jan 29, 12:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.13%chance

331039

OptionVotes

YES

1381

908

Will the trucking industry be automated by end of 2030?

Apr 21, 2:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.32%chance

281931

OptionVotes

YES

1129

893

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Industries News

Prediction markets for Industries

Prediction markets for Industries

Prediction markets for Industries

Will space mining evolve from a theoretical industry into a practical industry in the next 25 years?

Will these industries@countries have larger revenues in 2024 than in 2023?

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

Will Terraform Industries begin to commercialize in 2024?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Will Terraform Industries have a functional full-scale terraformer in 2024?

Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Will Netflix Inc reinforce its position in the gaming industry through a sizeable ($1b+) acquisition by the end of 2024?

Will the trucking industry be automated by end of 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Industries

Prediction markets for Industries

Prediction markets for Industries

Will space mining evolve from a theoretical industry into a practical industry in the next 25 years?

Will these industries@countries have larger revenues in 2024 than in 2023?

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

Will Terraform Industries begin to commercialize in 2024?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Will Terraform Industries have a functional full-scale terraformer in 2024?

Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Will Netflix Inc reinforce its position in the gaming industry through a sizeable ($1b+) acquisition by the end of 2024?

Will the trucking industry be automated by end of 2030?

Latest stories