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Imagine News
Prediction markets for Imagine
Prediction markets for Imagine
Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?
Nov 2, 4:01 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
19.49%
chance
11
467
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1023
788
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
292228
Which album released in 2024 will be Manifold's favorite?
Mar 4, 5:26 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11
422
Which songs will be covered for Joker: Folie à Deux?
Mar 22, 10:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18
2207
Which of these mainstream artists (or bands) will credit an AI in a song release? (Kanye ft. Suno, or Drake ft. ChatGPT)
Apr 4, 1:27 PM
Apr 4, 1:30 PM
34
2336
Intuitions about Infinity
Jan 4, 2:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28
870
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
Jun 27, 3:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39.04%
chance
127
26724
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1901
992
By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?
May 15, 1:19 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
55.63%
chance
123
23821
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1615
1191
Does eating snow dehydrate you?
Apr 10, 4:08 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4.48%
chance
32
3355
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1485
893
9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024
Dec 25, 1:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
74.95%
chance
47
4111
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1306
862
Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
Mar 26, 9:17 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
12.55%
chance
13
2500
Option
Votes
YES
NO
519
249
Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2030?
Feb 21, 5:41 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
43%
chance
109
19074
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1394
903
Articles
Latest stories
Andrew Garfield to Star with Julia Roberts in 'After The Hunt'
Authors
4
2 months
Culture
20th Century Wins Bidding War for Imagine's 'Whalefall' Thriller, Daniel Kraus, Best Horror Book 2023, Brian Duffield to Direct
Authors
5
4 months
Culture
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