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Prediction markets for Human Rights
Prediction markets for Human Rights
Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035
Nov 30, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
17.41%
chance
51
8584
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3705
3281
Will any country recognize AI or robots as non human persons with legal rights before the end of 2055?
Mar 18, 5:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32.55%
chance
17
880
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1048
956
If human brain emulations are created, will the 10 highest GDP nations all have granted them human rights after a year?
May 15, 7:09 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
21.59%
chance
31
1774
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1108
948
In 2024, will Human Rights Watch report significant election interference in Brazil's 2024 elections?
Dec 2, 12:47 PM
Dec 25, 4:59 AM
24%
chance
20
5007
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1574
745
Will access to the internet become a human right in the US by 2050?
Jun 14, 1:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
What human rights violations & other such medieval crap will the government of Singapore still have by 2030? (Add more!)
Jan 23, 12:46 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
18
635
Will the UK withdraw from the European Court of Human Rights?
Aug 10, 6:15 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
24.15%
chance
6
151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
131
117
How many humans are living right now?
Apr 4, 12:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2
156
Will access to the internet become a human right by 2075?
Jun 14, 1:10 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
74%
chance
3
49
Option
Votes
NO
YES
134
65
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19
8882
If an AI wipes out humanity on Earth, what will be true of this AI?
May 22, 10:17 AM
May 29, 9:59 PM
12
1088
What previously neutral terms will US conservatives use derisively?
Nov 2, 6:04 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
29
11281
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