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Prediction markets for House House

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

95.18%chance

306603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4444

225

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

105910

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.58%chance

221256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1752

571

In the Australian federal election for the 48th Parliament of Australia, will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of the seats in the House of Representatives?

Jan 27, 2:07 PMOct 25, 1:29 PM

48.94%chance

6027182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

748

Will Vivek Ramaswamy hold a position in the Trump White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

82.58%chance

13215428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5297

861

Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election?

Mar 14, 12:13 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

57.75%chance

132351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

894

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?

Mar 18, 9:26 PMNov 19, 12:00 PM

41.33%chance

19219040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2080

814

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

41.16%chance

212022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1607

1204

Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election?

Dec 13, 4:29 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

57.41%chance

5413296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

578

Will Cori Bush win re-election to the House in 2024

Dec 19, 8:29 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

32%chance

217204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1242

841

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024?

May 9, 7:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.73%chance

8919449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5821

1517

Will Jay Shooster be elected to the Florida state house of representatives in 2024?

Sep 8, 10:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.4%chance

121165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1623

975

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