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Prediction markets for House Education
Prediction markets for House Education
Will Elon Musk's next startup involve any technology mentioned in Eliezer Yudkowsky's major "dath ilan" posts that is more completely deployed on dath ilan than on Earth?
May 17, 1:00 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
26%
chance
17
479
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1036
905
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
Jun 24, 8:44 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
85.27%
chance
14
826
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1180
932
Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?
Jun 28, 12:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.4%
chance
18
1019
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1388
947
Will California pass a law providing grants to implement high-welfare farming practices before Dec 31, 2024?
Apr 1, 5:30 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
47.65%
chance
2
413
Option
Votes
YES
NO
52
48
When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?
Jun 12, 2:55 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
12
354
Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?
Apr 7, 12:55 PM
25
0
Work suggestions for people with software engineering background and AD(H)D?
Jan 9, 1:48 PM
0
0
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