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Prediction markets for Hospitality

Will Donald Trump be admitted to a hospital for any reason by the end of 2024?

Jun 28, 4:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.46%chance

16040357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3191

1567

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.6%chance

575189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2503

2181

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

Mar 10, 12:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.25%chance

704402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

1248

If Biden falls ill into an hospital bed, would he nonetheless win the 2024 election?

Oct 28, 1:16 AMNov 7, 2:59 AM

30.57%chance

23794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1054

968

Will the excavation at the Montreal Royal Victoria Hospital site locate unmarked graves from the CIA's MK-ULTRA program?

Jan 13, 9:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.8%chance

13235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

920

Will Biden be hospitalized overnight before August 2024?

Mar 11, 9:24 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

11.19%chance

295059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

858

Were there at least 200 deaths in the Gaza al-Ahli Arab Hospital explosion?

Oct 21, 4:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.13%chance

291585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1392

669

[Metaculus] Will a new VOC-classified covid variant cause at least 20k daily hospitalizations in US before July 1, 2025?

Dec 20, 10:51 PMJul 2, 6:00 PM

5.05%chance

13922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1592

919

Benchmark Gap #7: Once 10% of the medical Grand Challenges are "solved", how many months will it be before AI are in common use in hospitals for analyzing medical images with minimal human oversight?

Feb 8, 10:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.62%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

295

276

Were there at least 100 deaths in the Gaza al-Ahli Arab Hospital explosion?

Oct 21, 4:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

97.56%chance

121786

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2322

881

[Metaculus] Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur wit...SV in the 2023-24 season?

Jan 27, 3:19 PMSep 30, 1:00 PM

96.51%chance

5394

OptionVotes

NO

YES

544

98

Will Donald Trump be hospitalized for at least 1 night for health reasons [NOT for just a checkup] before 11/7/24?

Nov 9, 11:59 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

67.86%chance

101107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

70

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