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Prediction markets for Holders
Prediction markets for Holders
By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?
May 19, 6:49 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 AM
24.14%
chance
55
1295
Option
Votes
YES
NO
999
985
Will there be more than 10 000 holders on the market “AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]” by the end of 2025?
May 22, 9:07 PM
Jan 5, 10:59 PM
18.91%
chance
5
1405
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2070
483
Will the unemployment rate among CS degree-holders rise to over 30% by 2030?
Mar 22, 10:41 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
10.54%
chance
57
3300
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2030
908
Will the first AGI be created by an LK-99 Main-Market YES holder?
Jan 25, 5:45 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
10.13%
chance
16
1779
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
938
UK General Election: Which party will win in Beverley and Holderness?
Dec 22, 5:05 PM
Jan 31, 11:59 PM
10
370
I'm going to set up a dummy account that does the opposite of Yes holders in the LK-99 market. Will this be profitable?
Feb 6, 12:56 PM
Jul 10, 3:59 AM
54.52%
chance
6
68
Option
Votes
NO
YES
181
160
Will Serbian passport holders at any point be required to obtain visas to enter Schengen countries by Jan 1st 2026?
Oct 20, 7:56 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
32.15%
chance
3
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
73
Will Hong Kong BNO Visa Holders Be Eligible for Home Fee Status in England Unis After 3 Yr. Residency on or Before 2025?
Oct 4, 8:37 PM
Jan 2, 11:59 PM
37.48%
chance
4
107
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
106
Will holders of Credit Suisse AT1 bonds recover 5 cents on the dollar or more?
Mar 21, 9:03 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
28.32%
chance
8
171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
168
Recommend a iPad cover with keyboard and pencil holder
Aug 22, 6:18 AM
Aug 22, 6:59 AM
0
0
Which broken things will be fixed, around San Mateo, within two months of entry?
Mar 12, 8:48 PM
Mar 20, 6:59 AM
4
52
When will Apple break $180? (which day?)
Apr 3, 2:21 AM
Jun 3, 3:59 AM
15
60270
Articles
Latest stories
Clearpool, Zignaly Partner with PaalMind; $ZIG Surges 25%
Authors
6
4 months
Crypto
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