Hashed News

Will we know any of the NIST elliptic curve hash seeds by July 4, 2024?

Nov 23, 3:05 AMJul 5, 6:59 AM

11.12%chance

5231

OptionVotes

YES

378

Will "Hashing out long-standing disagreements seems..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Feb 15, 8:41 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.64%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

How will this market be resolved?

Feb 10, 8:21 PMFeb 11, 8:59 PM

12363

Will TON prefix hashmap implementation be shown to have a bug?

Apr 13, 3:07 AMDec 31, 6:59 PM

60.48%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

144

101

Will I muck up my construction of HashEdDSA using Blake3 and Curve25519?

Apr 6, 1:04 AMMar 19, 12:00 PM

23%chance

5113

OptionVotes

YES

148

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 600 EH/s in 2024?

Nov 2, 9:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.05%chance

64644

OptionVotes

YES

1022

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 700 EH/s in 2024?

Nov 3, 1:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

92.68%chance

93922

OptionVotes

YES

406

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 1000 EH/s in 2024?

Dec 13, 1:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54%chance

8318

OptionVotes

YES

132

114

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.6%chance

29683967

OptionVotes

YES

4281

3937

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.32%chance

4246455

OptionVotes

YES

2293

433

SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18?

Nov 18, 6:56 AMJun 18, 11:59 PM

17.39%chance

18795

OptionVotes

YES

1048

973

Bouncy market

May 15, 10:08 AMAug 1, 9:59 PM

12%chance

11807

OptionVotes

YES

605

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Hashed News

Prediction markets for Hashed

Prediction markets for Hashed

Prediction markets for Hashed

Will we know any of the NIST elliptic curve hash seeds by July 4, 2024?

Will "Hashing out long-standing disagreements seems..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

How will this market be resolved?

Will TON prefix hashmap implementation be shown to have a bug?

Will I muck up my construction of HashEdDSA using Blake3 and Curve25519?

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 600 EH/s in 2024?

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 700 EH/s in 2024?

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 1000 EH/s in 2024?

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18?

Bouncy market

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Hashed

Prediction markets for Hashed

Prediction markets for Hashed

Will we know any of the NIST elliptic curve hash seeds by July 4, 2024?

Will "Hashing out long-standing disagreements seems..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

How will this market be resolved?

Will TON prefix hashmap implementation be shown to have a bug?

Will I muck up my construction of HashEdDSA using Blake3 and Curve25519?

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 600 EH/s in 2024?

Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 700 EH/s in 2024?