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Prediction markets for Harness

By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Mar 10, 10:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.17%chance

15541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

961

By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?

Feb 21, 8:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9%chance

151286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1135

960

Har Marthe lest Mesteren og Margarita før nyttår

Mar 31, 5:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.04%chance

550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

157

Will auditable global info systems be developed that harness the protocols applied to scientific research?

Apr 8, 5:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.19%chance

8140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

202

Will Joe Biden endorse Kamala Harris for the Democratic Party Presidential Nomination before the end of July?

Jul 3, 4:02 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

35.5%chance

356541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14054

6285

Will Harry Kane score more goals at EURO 2024 than the entire teams of Poland and Albania combined?

Jun 2, 3:53 AMJul 14, 9:59 PM

7.46%chance

4942340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35259

2876

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Dec 13, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

4255271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11722

4317

Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?

May 25, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.77%chance

12541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3614

3370

Which will be the most popular hardware store of 2024

Jun 8, 2:02 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

3617601

What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?

Feb 24, 11:34 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

425198

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is More than 35% Asian by 2028?

Jun 29, 5:14 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

54.56%chance

884947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1736

1454

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

20707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

940

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