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Group of Five News
Prediction markets for Group of Five
Prediction markets for Group of Five
What will be true about the Manifold Oldschool Runescape Group Ironman? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 27, 6:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9
1531
In five years, the scientific consensus will be that ctenophores are the sister group to all other animals.
Sep 30, 4:31 PM
Jan 20, 10:59 PM
45.52%
chance
4
41
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
109
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
44.24%
chance
13
1140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
891
Will there be a death at a Trump Rally in 2024?
Jan 13, 12:52 AM
Jan 23, 7:59 AM
29.9%
chance
20
921
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1050
968
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
Nov 24, 7:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.98%
chance
34
2555
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1282
750
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024
Sep 11, 4:23 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
34.38%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
93
Which one of these ex-LOONA kpop acts will be the first to get a win on a music show?
Apr 2, 7:17 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2
105
Will AI be able to solve easy odd-one-out riddles by 2025?
Nov 9, 7:52 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
73.01%
chance
9
628
Option
Votes
NO
YES
268
179
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
81.61%
chance
4
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
189
74
Will Fabric host a pilgrimage in 2024?
Feb 17, 3:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31.82%
chance
2
49
Option
Votes
YES
NO
99
51
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
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