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Prediction markets for Government House

During the next Labour government, will there be a Foreign Secretary serving from the House of Lords?

Apr 17, 4:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

24%chance

131015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

939

Will the U.S. government experience a shutdown while the current speaker of the house (Mike Johnson) is in the position?

Oct 30, 4:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.53%chance

488418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

699

Before 2035, will there be a position titled "Listener of the House" in the US federal government?

Oct 18, 7:51 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.71%chance

7204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

130

If the republicans win the House of Representatives will there be a government shutdown by the end of 2026

Mar 15, 2:40 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

57.32%chance

766

OptionVotes

NO

YES

222

181

If democrats win the House of Representatives will there be a government shutdown by the end of 2026

Mar 15, 2:38 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

36.99%chance

8105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

203

Will a prior or current Congress person, a white house/cabinet official/high ranking Government official, or a high ranking national party(DNC or RNC) official win the 2024 election.

Mar 22, 7:04 PMDec 16, 5:59 AM

81.53%chance

6690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

832

459

In the Australian federal election for the 48th Parliament of Australia, will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of the seats in the House of Representatives?

Jan 27, 2:07 PMOct 25, 1:29 PM

48.94%chance

6027182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

748

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.24%chance

1286951

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3101

2083

Will Vivek Ramaswamy hold a position in the Trump White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

82.58%chance

13215428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5297

861

Will Donald Trump be president and Justin Trudeau be Prime Minister simultaneously after the next Canadian election?

Oct 16, 2:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.8%chance

36972

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13014

12966

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

41.16%chance

212022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1607

1204

Which party will win the 2024 UK General Election?

Sep 5, 1:58 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

3413046

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Pro-democracy Activists Demand Bail Rights in Thailand Amid Political Turmoil Under Srettha Thavisin
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