Google Research News

Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?

Mar 1, 2:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.85%chance

13272

OptionVotes

YES

1112

937

Will Google DeepMind researchers leave to form a new startup named 'Holistic', in 2024?

Jan 19, 11:12 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

29.95%chance

642864

OptionVotes

YES

1591

576

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Dec 25, 1:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.91%chance

523225

OptionVotes

YES

1082

803

Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months?

May 29, 3:53 AMSep 2, 6:59 AM

25%chance

6619183

OptionVotes

YES

1732

577

Will Google Deepmind's autonomous agent be based on Gemini?

Sep 20, 9:27 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

75.17%chance

14287

OptionVotes

YES

1030

979

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.28%chance

474284

OptionVotes

YES

1282

684

Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?

May 12, 2:35 AMJun 30, 6:29 PM

75.87%chance

25732

OptionVotes

YES

991

990

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

61.27%chance

12313

OptionVotes

YES

1019

939

Will a bot capable of completing Super Mario Bros. be created before the end of 2024?

May 30, 8:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

15552

OptionVotes

YES

1066

893

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Jul 4, 3:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.2%chance

291616

OptionVotes

YES

1386

689

Will Google Deepmind reveal their own autonomous agent in 2024?

Sep 13, 2:23 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

41.71%chance

16442

OptionVotes

YES

993

990

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

Jun 11, 12:13 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM

15.26%chance

382311

OptionVotes

YES

1055

970

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Google Research News

Prediction markets for Google Research

Prediction markets for Google Research

Prediction markets for Google Research

Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?

Will Google DeepMind researchers leave to form a new startup named 'Holistic', in 2024?

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months?

Will Google Deepmind's autonomous agent be based on Gemini?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Will a bot capable of completing Super Mario Bros. be created before the end of 2024?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Will Google Deepmind reveal their own autonomous agent in 2024?

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Google Research

Prediction markets for Google Research

Prediction markets for Google Research

Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?

Will Google DeepMind researchers leave to form a new startup named 'Holistic', in 2024?

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months?

Will Google Deepmind's autonomous agent be based on Gemini?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Will a bot capable of completing Super Mario Bros. be created before the end of 2024?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Will Google Deepmind reveal their own autonomous agent in 2024?

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

Latest stories