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Google Brain News
Prediction markets for Google Brain
Prediction markets for Google Brain
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2024?
Jan 1, 7:36 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
102
27911
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Sep 5, 2:45 AM
Sep 12, 4:59 AM
128
9560
Which company will create AGI first?
Dec 7, 7:13 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
42
1986
Will Google update/remove the braindead restrictions on adaptive charging before end of 2024 ?
Jun 4, 5:41 AM
Dec 31, 6:30 PM
43%
chance
9
130
Option
Votes
NO
YES
180
148
Will Demis Hassabis still work at Google/Alphabet at the end of 2025?
May 5, 7:08 AM
Dec 2, 7:59 AM
61.8%
chance
10
353
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1007
971
Will an Atlas Fellow launch an AGI startup worth >$1 million by 2030?
Feb 4, 10:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
91.83%
chance
39
20796
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1650
777
By what date will a model named GATO 2 or the spiritual successor to the prior GATO model be released by Deepmind?
Mar 25, 2:00 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
4
310
Will major tech company announce functional brain-computer interface able to read complex human thoughts by end of 2030?
Jun 15, 9:40 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
25.02%
chance
1
75
Option
Votes
YES
NO
173
58
Will at least half of the inverse scaling prize second round winners demonstrate U-shaped scaling by 2025?
Nov 16, 4:02 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60.39%
chance
4
118
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
103
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8
8 months
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5
8 months
AI
Tech
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