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Global Witness News
Prediction markets for Global Witness
Prediction markets for Global Witness
Will a solar flare hit Earth within the next 5 years and cause widespread global disruption?
Aug 6, 4:33 AM
Aug 6, 11:00 AM
14.45%
chance
27
612
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1061
970
The global record for the hottest day ever will be broken again within the next 5 years
Jul 21, 10:17 PM
Jul 26, 4:00 AM
94.64%
chance
22
1113
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1638
912
Will 2.8 billion people be displaced and 1.5 billion people would die within a 2.5°C of global warming by 2150?
May 2, 6:53 PM
May 10, 3:59 AM
54.61%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
91
Will average global temperatures rise to 2.0 Celsius above pre-industrial baseline within 10 years?
Jan 9, 4:17 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
16.92%
chance
8
333
Option
Votes
YES
NO
339
93
Will New Zealand's Housing Market Experience a Downturn of At Least 30% From Its Peak by 2030?
Apr 7, 6:57 PM
Dec 25, 10:59 AM
52.32%
chance
6
78
Option
Votes
NO
YES
167
153
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YouTube Approves Misleading Ads Ahead of India's Election
Authors
4
3 months
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