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Prediction markets for Global Ratings

Which of InvestAnswers 2024 money making predictions will be correct?

Jan 19, 12:58 AMJan 1, 1:29 PM

12378

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.29%chance

111709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4632

4000

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.45%chance

2217148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

956

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

47.69%chance

12190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

955

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.65%chance

291945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

959

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Aug 13, 5:03 PMAug 13, 9:59 PM

53%chance

13322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

956

Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?

Jan 23, 4:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.2%chance

321814

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

917

Will there be a global wealth or income tax by 2035?

May 20, 9:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.24%chance

151247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1721

581

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

78.06%chance

16450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

934

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.52%chance

21717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

847

Will global approval of China decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Apr 24, 4:47 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM

61.52%chance

142189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

968

Will global peak oil production occur before 2026?

Jan 17, 12:29 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.5%chance

20567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

694

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S&P Revises India's Outlook to Positive, Affirms BBB- Rating, Forecasts 6.8% GDP Growth
Authors
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1 month
India
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