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Prediction markets for Global Affairs
Prediction markets for Global Affairs
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
May 27, 2:32 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19.5%
chance
14
1262
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2032
492
Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?
Jun 18, 3:14 PM
Jul 18, 9:59 PM
1%
chance
39
12487
Option
Votes
YES
NO
9950
101
Global poverty: Will world life expectancy increase to <5 years of the leading large country's life expectancy by 2050?
Jan 29, 7:39 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
31%
chance
7
166
Option
Votes
YES
NO
203
148
What percent of people will think that the world got more dangerous in 2024?
May 2, 11:12 PM
Dec 2, 4:59 AM
0
0
Will more than 11k objects be launched into space in 2025?
Oct 22, 6:44 PM
Dec 30, 3:59 AM
24.65%
chance
7
354
Option
Votes
YES
NO
635
244
Articles
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Authors
7
4 months
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5
4 months
Culture
Meta's Nick Clegg: 40,000 of 67,000 Employees Focus on Censorship, Safety
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4
5 months
Politics
OpenAI VP Makanju in 'Intense Discussions' to Unify Staff, Prevent Mutiny, No Final Response Tonight
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8
8 months
Tech
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