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Prediction markets for George Washington
Prediction markets for George Washington
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2
Feb 28, 7:57 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
71
32940
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250050
[Add options] Who would be so good that Manifold would vote for them over themselves in a presidential election?
Jun 24, 7:15 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6
96
Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?
Feb 6, 11:18 PM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
49.92%
chance
74
2452
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1457
1003
Will another US President hold office for more than two full terms?
Jul 3, 6:08 AM
Jan 22, 4:59 AM
45.39%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1097
912
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
Feb 12, 4:35 AM
Apr 20, 6:59 AM
44.16%
chance
49
5500
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1058
884
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 200,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
Mar 20, 5:51 AM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
68.85%
chance
16
393
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1178
878
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 1,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
Mar 20, 5:50 AM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
3.13%
chance
11
1653
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1865
890
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 10,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
Mar 20, 5:49 AM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
9.71%
chance
7
295
Option
Votes
YES
NO
515
140
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 50,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
Mar 20, 5:47 AM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
28.27%
chance
8
169
Option
Votes
YES
NO
358
202
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