Gates Foundation News

Macron and African Leaders Push for Vaccine Equity in Africa; USAID Pledges Support to Gavi
Authors
5
10 days
Politics

Will the Gates Foundation give more than $100mn to AI Safety work before 2025?

Jun 4, 8:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.66%chance

15395

OptionVotes

YES

1123

929

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?

Jan 6, 10:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.81%chance

799

OptionVotes

YES

177

163

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?

Jan 6, 10:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.53%chance

3112

OptionVotes

YES

158

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.98%chance

256444

OptionVotes

YES

7198

4144

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.5%chance

13171

OptionVotes

YES

1003

990

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 4:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

42.51%chance

11114

OptionVotes

YES

1005

986

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

61.3%chance

15398

OptionVotes

YES

1110

903

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

64.69%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

356

226

Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:49 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

71.62%chance

9157

OptionVotes

YES

349

217

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.67%chance

8142

OptionVotes

YES

331

228

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.09%chance

696

OptionVotes

YES

281

157

Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 3:04 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

53.32%chance

535

OptionVotes

YES

233

214

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Gates Foundation News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Gates Foundation

Prediction markets for Gates Foundation

Prediction markets for Gates Foundation

Will the Gates Foundation give more than $100mn to AI Safety work before 2025?

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Gates Foundation

Prediction markets for Gates Foundation

Prediction markets for Gates Foundation

Will the Gates Foundation give more than $100mn to AI Safety work before 2025?

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?