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Future Foundation News
Prediction markets for Future Foundation
Prediction markets for Future Foundation
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%
chance
74
5724
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2141
900
Will "FTX Foundation, Inc." (i.e., the non-profit Future Fund entity) be added to the debtor group as part of the FTX bankruptcy proceedings?
Nov 28, 4:34 AM
Jun 27, 10:59 PM
17.71%
chance
19
651
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1423
857
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Nov 14, 3:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
81.2%
chance
150
86287
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7353
1128
By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?
May 16, 4:43 AM
Jan 8, 7:59 AM
65.2%
chance
25
1196
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1042
970
Will any foundation models/LLMs be able to reliably come up with novel unparalleled misalignments before EOY 2024?
Nov 8, 5:04 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45.76%
chance
14
1679
Option
Votes
NO
YES
954
942
Will S-risk prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 3:56 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
66.83%
chance
5
91
Option
Votes
NO
YES
257
133
When will I, the creator of this market, personally purchase a humanoid robot for under $20,000 USD?
Apr 20, 6:45 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
19
393
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